Surviving Peak Oil: Planning, Preparation, and Relocation

Thanks for posting this! I'm trying to find in...

2011-12-14T00:49:09.947-06:00

Thanks for posting this! I'm trying to find information on Prescription medicines and this has definitely helped me in this process.

Hello Cliff, I'm from Mexico City, are you bui...

2011-12-03T23:05:14.672-06:00

Hello Cliff, I'm from Mexico City, are you building peak oil aware community? I want to relocate and Xico, or Coatepec were options for me, If you get this could you answer me at sisd at mail dot com thanks. I have been taking some permaculture courses.

According to me its really depends on the depth. M...

2011-03-29T17:01:58.611-06:00

According to me its really depends on the depth. Me want to ask some questions about this related topic by email.

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We are now in 2011 and sadly there is no influenci...

2011-03-06T18:57:27.604-06:00

We are now in 2011 and sadly there is no influencial politicial that is prepared to tell the truth...

You captured the sentence perfectly. Thanks for th...

2011-02-22T23:27:36.794-06:00

You captured the sentence perfectly. Thanks for the great read.

Paula M

Hiya Cliff - long time no-see. Not getting any co...

2011-01-17T15:35:32.911-06:00

Hiya Cliff - long time no-see. Not getting any comments? Haha - voices in the wilderness, we are. I've made a blog too -
http://conflictpeakoil.blogspot.com/
Perfect storm on the horizon, mate. And everyone's eating king-sized buckets of fries and watching crap on the TV.

Learning to make solar energy and specifically, ho...

2010-11-09T00:50:21.608-06:00

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I'm sure the U.S. Energy Dept. is well aware o...

2010-08-08T08:23:32.295-05:00

I'm sure the U.S. Energy Dept. is well aware of Mr. Eriksen's predictions. However, the motto of our government has always been "Never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity." So I imagine this impending debacle will be largely ignored, much like the financial shenanigans of Wall Street, until it reaches crisis proportions.

Here's a thought. We know how to make oil now....

2010-07-14T13:07:24.958-05:00

Here's a thought. We know how to make oil now. How about exploring solar energy to make oil?

Here's a thought. We know how to make oil now....

2010-07-14T13:05:49.254-05:00

Here's a thought. We know how to make oil now. How about exploring solar energy to make oil?

It's starting to get bad again, June 2010. Ple...

2010-06-05T14:27:06.028-05:00

It's starting to get bad again, June 2010. Plenty of kool aid drinking the everlasting oil supply theory.

Declining Energy Return on Investment (EROI) is the problem. Eventually extracting oil will be chasing after the wind, when it takes one barrel to extract one barrel, you are toast.

A 5% decrease in 70s oil supply drove prices 400% higher.

People in global slums will be hacking each other away for what crumbs remain, unfortunately. None of us are immune from exponential math, I'm afraid. But the sky is not falling, it will still be there long after the last of us are liquidated and we can resume growth. I hope I get to see that point again in my lifetime.

Blogs are so informative where we get lots of info...

2010-04-03T00:58:24.933-06:00

Blogs are so informative where we get lots of information on any topic. Nice job keep it up!!
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nice post!keep posting

2010-02-04T22:27:21.451-06:00

nice post!keep posting

we love your blog postings, so well add your rss o...

2009-12-02T07:56:51.584-06:00

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John Mack, Good point, but don't forget the $...

2009-09-23T07:37:54.511-05:00

John Mack,

Good point, but don't forget the $100 trillion dollars in renovation of existing infrastructure that is required, according to Matthew Simmons. That is an enormous use of oil and nature gas in manufacturing and transportation. And in the Middle East, the amount of oil exported will shrink, see Jeffrey Brown on the Land Export Model.

I disagree with Murphy's graph of net energy f...

2009-09-10T13:12:20.468-05:00

I disagree with Murphy's graph of net energy from oil production because a substantial amount of the world's oil reserves are in the Middle East where extraction costs are very low -- $10/bbl, maybe lower. While declining production at these fields will require more financial resources, it will not significantly increase costs, in my opinion. That being said, the terminal decline of oil production is very bad news indeed.

Jeff, Regarding the future potential for natural ...

2009-09-04T23:14:10.635-05:00

Jeff,

Regarding the future potential for natural gas as a replacement for gasoline and diesel:

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5615#comment-524089

and the EIA concludes much the same, see the section "Substitution of Natural Gas for Petroleum Consumption" a little more than half way down the page:

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/issues.html

and then these data about how fast oil supply reduction is occurring for the U.S:

http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/2009/06/net-hubbert-curve-what-does-it-mean-by.html

The capital for natural gas conversions and supply infrastructure will disappear as oil supply reduction impacts the U.S. economy.

And these article do not even take into account declining oil supplies and how that will impact the economy:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/439656-arbitrary-vote/11018-economic-fragility-underestimated-collapse-may-be-imminent

http://www.commodityonline.com/futures-trading/currency/Why-you-should-get-out-of-the-US-dollar-now!-734-1.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jul/08/g8-recession-plan-global-economy

And the IEA indicates that "the oil crisis begins to grip after 2010:"

http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/2009/08/indendent-london-warns-about-peak-oil.html

Best regards,

Cliff Wirth

I can accept your comments on declining oil - but ...

2009-09-04T14:07:09.403-05:00

I can accept your comments on declining oil - but you do not consider alternative energy replacements. There are massive amounts of Natural Gas now accessible in Shale and Shipments of LNG ramping up from Mid East and Russia. This should act as a stop gap till Renewable energy sources can be ramped up in large enough scale - which will take years and cost more than current oil but possibly less than future oil. Additonally we have to go in the renewable direction to begin to reduce climate change. Your comments on these points plse.
Jeff Reed

"Many more months"?! What a master of un...

2009-08-10T01:31:46.206-05:00

"Many more months"?! What a master of understatement! Truth is, the days of wine, roses, and economic growth are over. From here on, it's debt defaults, contraction, and chaos.

This depends on the depth and how insulated it is ...

2009-08-08T18:24:05.628-05:00

This depends on the depth and how insulated it is from above.

Not having looked much into this idea as of yet I&...

2009-08-08T04:05:31.292-05:00

Not having looked much into this idea as of yet I'm wondering if a walk-in crawl space beneath a house would work just as well?

Dear Anonymous, Peak Oil is a fact of geology, as...

2009-08-03T07:38:22.864-05:00

Dear Anonymous,

Peak Oil is a fact of geology, as recognized my the National Academy of Sciences in 1980. Your source is not credible and you have no data nor credible argument here. Your method is called proof by assertion.

Hi Susan, By 2015 global oil production will be d...

2009-08-02T22:07:26.692-05:00

Hi Susan,

By 2015 global oil production will be down 15% using Tony Eriksen's study, plus a guesstimated 1% for increased oil consumed in production, processing, and renovation of oil infrastructure. In addition, the reduction in exports from oil exporting countries will be large, although Jeffrey J. Brown and Samuel Foucher have not calculated this as a percentage of total oil production. I will guesstimate conservatively a 20% decline in exports by 2015. See

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2767

for Brown's analysis.

A 35% decline in oil available to the developed nations will cause prices to skyrocket. One can only guesstimate the cost of oil under these conditions. Also, the U.S. economy and dollar will decline, making it difficult to buy oil on the international market.

This is why the highways and power grid are a major concern, as the states will lack funds for highway maintenance, and when the highways fail the power grid will fail also.
Read more here:

http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/2009/03/peak-oil-economic-depression-has.html

http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/2009/05/power-blackout-in-winter-comment-by-rc.html

You should be concerned about your family now and more as time goes on.

peak oil is the biggest myth known to man... serio...

2009-08-02T21:52:36.681-05:00

peak oil is the biggest myth known to man... seriously.

I follow the truth bearers over at http://www.forecastfortomorrow.com once they open your eyes to what has been going on you jaw will hit the floor.